Global change in streamflow extremes under climate change over the 21st century

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Global warming is expected to intensify the Earth’s hydrological cycle and increase flood and drought risks. Changes over the 21st century under two warming scenarios in different percentiles of the probability distribution of streamflow, and particularly of high and low stream- flow extremes (95th and 5th percentiles), are analyzed using an ensemble of bias-corrected global climate model (GCM) fields fed into different global hydrological models (GHMs) provided by the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI-MIP) to understand the changes in stream- flow distribution and simultaneous vulnerability to different types of hydrological risk in different regions.

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Publication Date: 
27/11/2017