Forecasting of Karnataka monsoon rainfall for the year 2011

Decomposition of monsoon rainfall time series into mutually uncorrelated intrinsic mode functions (IMF) has distinct advantages in empirical forecasting of rainfall quantity ahead of the season. The attractive feature of this approach is its ability to separate out the nonlinear (non-Gaussian) and the linear (Gaussian) parts of the data as uncorrelated narrow-band processes for further modelling. (Correspondence)